Source document: The Aviva Investors news release is strangely available only to professional investors.
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Saturday, 26 February 2011
Investors seek action for greater environmental disclosure
Saturday, 12 February 2011
Evidence of 'modest' impact of codes on pay, performance
Source document: The working paper "Managerial Remuneration and Disciplining in the UK: A Tale of Two Governance Regimes," by Luc Renneboog of Tilburg University and Grzegorz Trojanowski of the University of Exeter, is a 52-page pdf file.
Attacking the sharks – new twist in audit competition
- Contractual constraints: The firms want prohibition of contractual clauses and other institutional bias in favour of the four dominant firms.
- Reassessment to prompt rotation: Companies should be required to undertake regular reassessment of audit appointments thereby ensuring that audit committees and shareholders determine whether the current audit offering meets their needs and to look at the approaches of alternative firms.
- Enhanced scrutiny: Authorities around the world should undertake "cooperative and global assessment" of significant mergers or acquisitions by globally dominant players whose consequence is to prevent others from developing international capabilities that will provide a real and credible choice.
Source document: The Mazar's version of the joint statement explains its thinking.
The marriage-go-round in trading venues goes around again
Exchanges grew up in a different economy, when traders met in person to come to trust one another (well enough, at least) to conduct business. The exchange was the venue for the meeting, and the landlord laid down rules of conduct. Now, regulators take on the rule-making, and networks and computers provide the meeting place. Who needs an exchange? Changes in regulation killed what little was left of the natural monopoly of bygone days, and those networks and computers provided the means by which investors could aggregate the information needed to see even the liquidity collected in dark pools.
Exchanges still hold some remnants of national identity: Witness the official French discomfort when the Germans seems to be gaining pride of place with Frankfurt, not Paris, as the European headquarters of the company that could be fetchingly called DBNYSE. The surprise here is that by market capitalisation, Deutsche Börse's shareholders would get 60 per cent of the shares in the merged company. How the Americans have been humbled! But these companies and the services they provide are less and less to do with national competitiveness and more and more to do with the speed and cost of executing block trades on behalf of hedge funds and other high-frequency traders in shares of companies based somewhere else in the world.
In London and Toronto, the merger is less political and more obviously commercial. But London's value as a trading venue has seen perhaps the biggest transformation. Its trading volumes have been affected by off-exchange platforms and order internalisation more than most. And its listing portfolio, especially of large companies, looks less and less like the country in which it happens to reside. This story is back, and it isn't over.
Source documents: The NYSE-Euronext news release tells its side of the story. The LSE statement explains its rationale for the deal.
The avoidable and inevitable in the banking crisis
The split was largely partisan: Democrats concurred, Republicans dissented. That isn't the best starting point for legislative or regulatory action, given the lack of consensus on Capitol Hill and with the White House in control of one party and the House of Representatives in the hands of the other. But whatever the political basis of the split, a deeper logic rests in the divisions. To what extent can we really foretell the future? How do we know where the limits to our foresight are?
It matters: "The Commission" wrote: "As this report goes to print, there are more than 26 million Americans who are out of work, cannot find full-time work, or have given up looking for work. About four million families have lost their homes to foreclosure and another four and a half million have slipped into the foreclosure process or are seriously behind on their mortgage payments. Nearly $11 trillion in household wealth has vanished, with retirement accounts and life savings swept away."
It's emotive: Because it matters, those drafting the report let their language rip. The report points to the failure of regulation and supervision, and especially of the Federal Reserve Board, as the root of the problem. The spread of toxic mortgage was preventable. The Securities and Exchange Commission could have forced investment banks to hold more capital. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York could have "clamped down on Citigroup's excesses". Policy-makers and regulators "could have stopped the runaway mortgage securitization train". Where they lacked power the regulators could have sought it. "Too often, they lacked the political will – in a political and ideological environment that constrained it – as well as the fortitude to critically challenge the institutions and the entire system they were entrusted to oversee," the report says.
But there was more to it than that. Bank boards ignored issues in risk. "There was a view that instincts for self-preservation inside major financial firms would shield them from fatal risk-taking without the need for a steady regulatory hand, which, the firms argued, would stifle innovation," it says. AIG's senior management was ignorant of the risks of a $79 billion exposure to derivatives. Merrill Lynch's top management was surprised to find it held $55 billion of mortgage-related securities that were supposed to be "super-safe" and weren't.
Moreover, "there was a systemic breakdown in accountability and ethics." But to blame the crisis on greed and hubris would be simplistic, it said. Rather, the issue lay with the failure to take human weakness into account.
The dissenters: The three commissioners who joined in dissent included the vice chairman, Bill Thomas. They accused the majority of writing more than 500 pages of description, without really analysing why the crisis happen. The report is simply too simple: "Both the 'too little government' and 'too much government' approaches are too broad-brush to explain the crisis," they say. The housing bubble wasn't just in the US, and in other countries it wasn't tied to mortgage securitisation. How could the crisis be a result of political paralysis in Washington, if the same bubble characteristics can be seen in Dublin, Amsterdam and Reykjavík? "How," they ask, "can the 'runaway mortgage securitization train' detailed in the majority's report explain housing bubbles in Spain, Australia, and the United Kingdom, countries with mortgage finance systems vastly different than that in the United States?" This wasn't a runaway train, they dissenter might have written, it was "Murder on the Orient Express" – everybody was to blame.
A different dissent: Peter Wallison thinks that's too easy an answer, and too difficult an explanation to guide policy. Other countries had housing bubbles, it's true, but they didn't suffer from the same collapse that the US did. Moreover, no major financial deregulation had occurred in the past 30 years, Even the repeal of part of the Glass-Steagall Act in 1999, which had prevented retail banks from affiliating with securities houses, seemed to have no connection to how the crisis unfolded. Wallison thinks there's a simpler answer: government policy of promoting home ownership by people who couldn't afford created the bubble. Expansive actions under both Presidents Clinton and Bush, efforts by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to boost volume, and policies of the Federal Housing Administration pumped up the market. The decision by government to orchestrate a rescue of Bear Stearns in early 2008 then led the market to conclude that the pressure was off. Government would rescue anyone who failed, so self-restraint vanished. Mark-to-market accounting then made many appear to have been weakened when little had happened.
So, what now? The policy implications of this analysis are far from clear. The split along political lines in the commission combined with the split in government will mean that no major initiative is likely to arise from all the testimony, reports and writing that went into this study. A pragmatist would look, therefore, for little things to do that might do something. That's were Wallison's dissent is instructive. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac won't go back to business-as-usual any time soon. Government's role will get smaller because it can't get larger. Equilibrium will be restored to the housing market, we guess, but at a lower velocity. And perhaps that's good enough. For the next crisis won't be the same as the last. For that, the attention of policy-makers should be on education, innovation, and the imbalances in trade that makes a sovereign debt crisis loom on the horizon. Those have the look of the inevitable, not just the avoidable.
Source documents: The website of the commission has links to the conclusions and dissents as well as a library of the studies and comments that led to its findings. The full report is a 662-page pdf file.
Saturday, 5 February 2011
What next, as SEC adopts 'say on pay'?
So far so slow. The enhanced disclosure of executive pay, pioneered in the US and now widely required by law and regulation in countries around the world, has done little to halt the upward spiral of top-management pay. If anything, it may have accelerated it, as a variety of academic analyses have concluded. Having a public vote on policy may embarrass a board into modifying its stance or thinking twice before proposing something likely to stretch the limits. Coupled with the end to broker-voting of shares held on account, shareholder activists could get a larger voice and more to shout about. But turnout will fall, putting the legitimacy of shareholder votes in doubt. When brokers were allowed to vote shares on behalf of silent clients, the legitimacy was anyway in doubt. But the percentages voted at least looked half-way legitimate. And now?
The bigger question is the disconnect between shareholders and the concept of ownership. To be sure, some institutional shareholders operate as if they cared about the companies in which they invest. But the combination of leveraged holdings, high-frequency trading and the ever-expanding layers of intermediaries between the end-beneficiary and the company mean the concept of ownership – let alone of "stewardship" – is strained. In the US it hasn't mattered before. Shareholders had so few rights that ownership wasn't an issue. That's why the activists embraced agency theory and its prescriptions of mechanisms to align incentives in pay with shareholder interest. The manifest failure of those mechanisms demonstrates that boards and directors aren't the machines that the behaviourist (and behaviouralist) thinkers thought they were. Ownership, in any traditional sense, implies accountability in both directions, and that requires dialogue. This say-on-pay, exercised by lobbyists and fly-by-wire traders, will be at best a dialogue of the deaf.
Source document: The SEC news release has a link to the video of the chairman's statement.
What to watch for as US shareholders vote this year
- Just say no: Campaigns are appearing for shareholders simply to vote against any management proposals or withhold votes from incumbent directors seeking reappointment.
- New voters and non-voters: In the past, boards have often been able to count on stockbrokers to help them out. Brokers that hold shares on account of end-investors have long been able to vote the shares as they choose, unless the clients had specifically requested to vote themselves. Broker voting is no longer permitted, so the votes of passive investors, once exercised by management-friendly investment banks, won't count, giving the activists more clout.
- Fast reporting: It's not quite "real-time" reporting, but US companies now have to report the outcome of shareholder votes within four days of the annual meeting.
- Old chestnuts: Executive pay will provoke a lot of concern, as it has ever since shareholder activism emerges as a force in the 1980s. But there's new impetus, linked to …
- New chestnuts: Pay is linked increasingly to risk, and risk management disclosures – including the board's role in risk – need to be made. In this context will come at least a risk-based view of climate change.
And more. You don't have to read the financial newspapers to know that investors have been upset by the secrecy surrounding the medical leave of absence that Steve Jobs has taken from Apple. Succession planning will be on the minds of investors even more than on the proxy statements.
Source document: The briefing note by Robert Berick of Dix & Eaton and Rachel Posner of Georgeson appeared originally in The Corporate Board.